July Review

It’s been a funny old month.  At times it’s felt like a real struggle, but when all has been done, dusted and counted, it’s not been a bad one at all.

We had six services giving bets, three producing a profit and three a loss.  The final figures show an ROI of 8.63% and total bank growth of 5.17%.

The best performing service, for the second consecutive month, has been the Morning Value Service (Lite).  It really is going through a golden period.  I’m finding the odds quick to disappear now, certainly faster than in previous times and no doubt this is a consequence of the sheer level of profit that has been made recently.  This often happens when a tipster goes through a hot streak.  Some current members will no doubt be raising their stakes and perhaps as news spreads of the good form, new members sign up.  I can’t say I approve of folk doing this.  In my experience, staying consistent with staking and looking at the long term history of a tipster should be your guiding principles, not short term success.  I’m not suggesting folk shouldn’t join MVS (Lite).  Far from it – I’m just saying that the motivation for doing so should be the long term figures, not the exhilerating rate of profit accrued over the past two months.

Another to enjoy good times through July is Chasemaster.  Here is a service in which it is necessary to show patience.  There aren’t a lot of bets every day, and it can go through relatively lengthy spells of not much happening, but then seemingly out of the blue, BOOM!  The highlight this month was a horse called Strumble Head which ran on the 23rd.  Tipped at 8/1, returned at 10/1, it never looked like doing anything other than cruising to victory.  So nice when that happens!

The last service to end July in the black was Pinpoint Golf.  I know a knew method is being used in terms of utilizing the model that kicks up the selections, and at the moment it seems to be working.  What has impressed me over the past four or five weeks has been the relative consistency achieved.  I expect golf betting to be extremely volatile, but not this month.

Racing Service B and Northern Monkey each produced a small loss, and Jason James will be looking forward to a new month and not dwell too long on July!

Chasemaster: Staked 10pts, +16.487pts, ROI 164.87%, ROC 16.48%.

Jason James: Staked 107.5pts, -39.6pts, ROI -36.8%, ROC -19.8%.

Morning Value Service (Lite): Staked 92pts, +28.58pts, ROI 31.06%, ROC 28.58%.

Northern Monkey: Staked 117.87pts, -2.32pts, ROI -2%, ROC -2.71%.

Racing Service B: Staked 96pts, -2.17pts, ROI -2.26%, ROC -1.08%.

Pinpoint Golf: Staked 142.4pts, +40.9pts, ROI 28.72%, ROC 8.18%.

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  • Exclusive extra analysis on my betting portfolio and ongoing betting journey;
  • The EXACT identities of each of the tipsters I follow to make money betting;
  • Access to all SBC reviews, ratings and recommendations for each tipster;
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Underwhelming…

July has not got off to the best of starts.  Performance does not yet qualify as a disaster, and there’s still plenty of time for the month to end as a good one.  As Corporal Jones was so fond of ordering anyone who would listen, “Don’t panic!”.

The month actually got off to a flier for Northern Monkey, who on the first landed a stormer with Higher Power who scooted home to win the Northumberland Plate up at Newcastle at odds of 8/1.  But if this was a sign of some Higher Power amongst the Gods of betting deciding that this was to be the start of a hot run for our favourite northern-based tipster, he soon changed his mind and now Northern Monkey is showing a fairly significant loss for the month to date.

July got off to a cracker too for Chasemaster who tipped up Alderbrook Lad at Cartmel, and who landed odds of 11/2.

It seemed too after the 4th landed a very good overall profit via winning tips from Jason JamesMorning Value Service (Lite) and Racing Service B that in fact we were on a bit of a roll, but alas it was not to be.  Two days later the deficit figure was a nasty one as every bugger went down, and then Saturday was, let’s say, disastrous.

Let’s move on…quickly…

Figures from July 1st – July 8th

Chasemaster: Staked 5pts, +5.8pts.

Jason James: Staked 34.5pts, -16.2pts.

Morning Value (Lite): Staked 25pts, -0.375pts.

Northern Monkey: Staked 40.375pts, -9.453pts.

Racing Service B: Staked 27.25pts, -7.5pts.

Pinpoint Golf: Staked 30.4pts, +7.385pts.

Total: ROI -12.72%

 

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Take Your Betting Up A Notch With The Bet Diary PRO!

If you enjoy reading these free Bet Diary posts, then you can gain access to my more detailed, professional betting blog (Bet Diary Pro) as a Secret Betting Club member.

First introduced in early 2015, the Bet Diary Pro provides even more on the practical realities of following tipsters to make money betting including:

  • Exclusive extra analysis on my betting portfolio and ongoing betting journey;
  • The EXACT identities of each of the tipsters I follow to make money betting;
  • Access to all SBC reviews, ratings and recommendations for each tipster;
  • Access to several major discounts/trials on the tipsters I follow;
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June review

What a month for Morning Value Service (Lite).  Look at these figures…

Staked 96pts, +53.175pts, ROI 55.39%, ROC 53.18%.

Quite incredible, and it’s been a joy following this month.  Unlike the other tipsters I use, where I’m splitting stakes like there’s no tomorrow to make sure I stay under the bookies’ radar for as long as possible, with MVS (Lite) I rarely bother.  We’re always backing at short odds with this service, placing bets that the bookmakers like to take.  It means I can go for the standout price, even if only being offered by just one or two firms, and with the benefit of BOG it’s been a potent combination through June.  We even had a winner at 7/1 on the 22nd, albeit one that was tipped at 3s.  You know when they come in that things are going for you!

To be 100% honest though, the superlative performance of MVS (Lite) has papered over some cracks, and I’d be lying if I didn’t admit to having some concerns over one or two services in the portfolio.

It’s been a while now since we saw any decent and consistent level of profit being made by Racing Tipster B and Chasemaster.  They each need to produce the goods through the second half of 2017.

I personally feel that Northern Monkey is possibly striving a little too hard for the bank doubling big multiple.  To be fair, it came within a whisker of doing just that on more than one occasion in June, but we’re seeing more multiple bets from Wayne than ever before and with the new staking system on some of the singles too, it feels a very different service from that of previous years.  Fingers crossed Wayne’s new approach will pay off soon.

So, for the month in total, only two of the six tipsters in action actually made a profit, but such were the extent of those from MVS (Lite) it was actually a very decent month.

June’s Betting: ROI 11.75%, ROC 7.83%

Chasemaster: Staked 16pts, -1.3pts, ROI -8.12%, ROC -1.3%

Jason James: Staked 95pts, +11.591pts, ROI 12.2%, ROC 5.79%.

MVS (Lite): Staked 96pts, +53.175pts, ROI 55.39%, ROC 53.175%.

Northern Monkey: Staked 137.25pts, -4.576pts, ROI -3.33%, ROC -5.72%.

Racing Tipster B: Staked 97pts, -2.17pts, ROI -19.16%, ROC -1.08%.

Pinpoint Gold: Staked 100.8pts, -19.32pts, ROI -19.16%, ROC -3.86%.

 

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Take Your Betting Up A Notch With The Bet Diary PRO!

If you enjoy reading these free Bet Diary posts, then you can gain access to my more detailed, professional betting blog (Bet Diary Pro) as a Secret Betting Club member.

First introduced in early 2015, the Bet Diary Pro provides even more on the practical realities of following tipsters to make money betting including:

  • Exclusive extra analysis on my betting portfolio and ongoing betting journey;
  • The EXACT identities of each of the tipsters I follow to make money betting;
  • Access to all SBC reviews, ratings and recommendations for each tipster;
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The tonic of Best Odds Guaranteed.

I don’t mind admitting that I feel that 2017 has given my betting a new lease of life.  I feel energized and looking back to 2016 I realize just how jaded I had become with the ins and outs and the daily stresses involved in running a portfolio of tipsters.

This is a tough game we play, and although experience can count for a lot, I accept now that in fact it is the early days of betting that can be both the most rewarding financially but also the most fun.  Why?  Because the ‘Best Odds Guaranteed’ concession that new punters can enjoy is an absolute Godsend.

What has made a massive difference to my outlook and level of enthusiasm has been my opening of a new set of bookmaker accounts.  The benefit of experience kicks in, keeping stakes low and doing everything possible to make sure that accounts remain viable for as long a period as possible, but the joy BOG can bring is unconfined!  There’s nothing sweeter than a horse one of your tipsters has picked coming in at grossly inflated odds having experienced a big drift in the market.

9/4 out to 6/1…and storms home!

A fine example of such occurred just last week…a horse called Goodwood Crusader, tipped by the Morning Value Service (Lite) at 9/4.  The nag itself didn’t know it had drifted like a dinghy in a rip tide in the on course market and duly obliged at a massive 6/1!

As a matter of course, the SBC don’t apply BOG to a tipster’s proofed record when putting a service under the review microscope.  And rightly so, as naturally, the first thing a bookie will do if they’re suspicious of a customer’s ability to do anything other than throw money away on mug bets, is remove the concession.  But if you are new to this game, or you have opened a new set of accounts and are able to enjoy the wonder of BOG in all it’s glory, then make the most of it, for they are heady days indeed.

Betting results from Thursday 1st June to Saturday 10th June

Pleasingly, the good form of May has largely continued…

Chasemaster: Staked 5pts, +2pts.

Jason James: Staked 37.5pts, +6.761pts.

Morning Value Service (Lite): Staked 33pts, +9.425pts.

Northern Monkey: Staked 34.75pts, -0.158pts.

Racing Service B: Staked 26pts, +5.5pts.

Pinpoint Golf: Staked 29.4pts, -18.482pts.

Total for June to date: ROI 11.47%, ROC 2.27%.

 

 

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Take Your Betting Up A Notch With The Bet Diary PRO!

If you enjoy reading these free Bet Diary posts, then you can gain access to my more detailed, professional betting blog (Bet Diary Pro) as a Secret Betting Club member.

First introduced in early 2015, the Bet Diary Pro provides even more on the practical realities of following tipsters to make money betting including:

  • Exclusive extra analysis on my betting portfolio and ongoing betting journey;
  • The EXACT identities of each of the tipsters I follow to make money betting;
  • Access to all SBC reviews, ratings and recommendations for each tipster;
  • Access to several major discounts/trials on the tipsters I follow;
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May betting review.

For the most part this year, I have been waiting for the racing services to all come together as a group to produce a strong profit.  One or two of the services have performed well at times, but collectively they had yet to show us what they can do.  May has shown what can happen when they all fire at the same time.

It’s been an excellent month.  Only  one service – Pinpoint Golf – has provided a loss.  All of the racing services have performed admirably, each generating a double figure rate of bank growth.

Chasemaster:  It’s fair to say that 2017 had yet to see Chasemaster fly, but looking at the history of the service we see a pattern emerge; we often have periods of treading water interspersed with bursts of strong profitability.  These might result from a short term purple patch or perhaps a very long-priced winner or two.  What this means is that we need to exercise patience.  That patience was rewarded this month.  Staked 25.5pts, +10.48pts, ROI 41.12%, ROC 10.48%.

Jason James:  After a spell that provoked one JJ follower to email me to ask if I had any concerns about Jason’s tipping, May proved to be a fruitful month for the service.  At one point it felt that Jason was knocking in big winner after big winner just for the hell of it.  I hope that JJ member who was concerned didn’t lose faith and stuck with it!  Staked 92pts, +61.468pts, ROI 66.74%, ROC 30.7%.

Morning Value Service (Lite):  For a service that generally goes about it’s business in a rather quiet and understated way, there were days of explosion from MVS (Lite) this month.  Thursday 11th saw five winners from six bets for an 11 point profit, and Tuesday 23rd witnessed a full house from four bets for another 11.5 points!  Anyone doing the ‘Doubles’ strategy would have cleaned up!  What has been very noticeable from following this service through May is the advantage of BOG.  Those four winners on the 23rd all went off at a longer price than that advised and the difference adds up. Thankfully, I’ve so far largely been able to maintain my BOG concessions from my new accounts, simply by splitting up my bets across different books and keeping stakes at each pretty low.  Long may it continue!  Staked 71pts, +16.375pts, ROI 23.06%, ROC 16.37%.

Northern Monkey:  Of all the racing services in the portfolio, this was the one who for a large part of the month, looked like it was finding the going a little sticky.  Then, on the last day of the month, it came up with the goods to end up with a very nice profit indeed.  Two horses, each backed singly and also as a double, did the business.  Lovely stuff!  Funnily enough, this came just a few days after an email from Wayne saying that he felt his tips were running well but without much luck, and that he believed a “profit explosion” wasn’t too far away.  He’s clairvoyant, that man!  Staked 108.325pts, +18.283pts, ROI 16.87%, ROC 22.85%.

Racing Service B:  Like the other racing services, Will excelled through May.  Guest starring for a week on At The Races was not enough to put him out of his stride and a 14/1 winning tip at the big Chester meeting mid-month set the tone.  Staked 110pts, +25.55pts, ROI 23.22%, ROC 12.77%.

Pinpoint Golf:  The only service this month to hit a bum note.  Of most interest in May though was a data analyst exercise carried out by PG that uncovered some interesting findings.  Sensibly waiting until the dataset was of a size to make such an exercise statistically relevant, the outcome has been a slight change in betting strategy moving forward.  The bank size recommended has also been increased, which is a change I have made to my own bank from 1st June.  All we need now is a winner or two! 🙂  Staked 138.5pts, -52.09pts, ROI -37.61%, ROC -26.04%.

Football Service 1:  Not a huge amount to say really, as May was a quiet month as the domestic leagues wound down.  It has however, been another successful season for the Combo System, and I look forward to following again through 2017/18.  Staked 8pts, +1.24pts, ROI 15.5%, ROC 2.48%.

So there we have it; a darned good month…

Portfolio ROI 16.71%, ROC 9.94%.

More of the same through June would be very nice indeed.  Here’s hoping.

 

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Take Your Betting Up A Notch With The Bet Diary PRO!

If you enjoy reading these free Bet Diary posts, then you can gain access to my more detailed, professional betting blog (Bet Diary Pro) as a Secret Betting Club member.

First introduced in early 2015, the Bet Diary Pro provides even more on the practical realities of following tipsters to make money betting including:

  • Exclusive extra analysis on my betting portfolio and ongoing betting journey;
  • The EXACT identities of each of the tipsters I follow to make money betting;
  • Access to all SBC reviews, ratings and recommendations for each tipster;
  • Access to several major discounts/trials on the tipsters I follow;
  • Access to the SBC Tipping Forum and several free profitable tipsters.

Access to the Bet Diary Pro is available right away with either a Silver, Gold or Platinum Secret Betting Club membership.

Subscribe Now & Gain Instant Access!

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Time provides perspective.

In my last post which reviewed the undoubtedly disappointing performance of the portfolio through April, I said that there are times when you just have to suck up losing and accept it for what it is.  What I meant by this was that instead of looking for reasons why the tipsters aren’t producing the goods, there are times when you must acknowledge that losing is a fundamental part of betting.  It cannot be avoided.

Often the passing of time provides you with a much greater sense of perspective.  You can look back at how the services are performing and see that the disappointing spells are nothing more than blips.  It’s the same when you look at your betting portfolio as a whole as it is when you are analyzing the performance graphs of a successful individual tipster.  You gain confidence from seeing a strong upward movement on the graph, demonstrating strong profits and tend to ignore the downward ‘bumps’, dismissing them as irrelevant.  However, when actually living through one of those irrelevant bumps, believe me, you feel it.  And the drawdown certainly doesn’t feel ‘irrelevant’ when you’re in the midst of it!

If we were to plot on a graph the performance of my own portfolio since the start of the year, plus those of the individual services within it, we would see a nice upward trend, a downward slant representing April, and now the beginnings of the next upswing.  Psychologically, January to March felt good, April was a pain in the ‘arris, and now confidence is returning as a number of the tipsters I follow have enjoyed good days and seem to be getting some form back.  Had I not actually lived through this however, and were coming to the graphs ‘cold’ and dispassionately, then I would think that the figures represented a good, strong set of tipping services that I’d gladly sign up to.  And that, of course, is because the time covered by the graphs has allowed me a sense of perspective.

What I’m trying to say, in a roundabout get-to-the-point-Rowan kind of way, is that you shouldn’t let the blips drag you down.  Try to stand back and give things time before judging anything too harshly (or too favourably).

Betting figures from Monday 1st May to Friday 12th May

Chasemaster: Staked 8.5pts, +9.05pts.

Jason James: Staked 38pts, -7.3pts.

Morning Value Service (Lite): Staked 31pts, -2.875pts.

Northern Monkey: Staked 40.625pts, +10.542pts.

Racing Service B: Staked 34pts, +12.725pts.

Pinpoint Golf: Staked 75.5pts, -11.47pts.

Football Service 1: Staked 2pts, +2.45pts.

Total figures: ROI 12.63%, ROC 3.03%.

 

 

April Portfolio Review

My opening sentence of the March review went like this:

“Without a doubt the last couple of months have proven to be tricky ones for the racing tipsters in the portfolio.”

Well, April was not so much “tricky” for the racing services, as “blooming disastrous”.  Of the six racing tipsters, only one was profitable – Racing Service A.  Mind you, this month was also a barren one for the two sports services too and Racing Service A was in fact the only service in the entire portfolio to turn a profit.

April has simply been one of those months that we get from time to time.  Just as we occasionally get the joyous bumper months, we have to accept we’re going to get the odd crappy one too.  We have just to man-up and deal with them when they hit.  The overall ROC downside for the month is perfectly manageable and although there is certainly room for considerable improvement in terms of 2017 form from the racing tipsters in particular, there is no need to worry just yet.

April’s Figures

The total figures for April’s betting are: ROI -8.15%, ROC -4.53%.

Let’s start on the positive – Racing Service A rounded off their 2016/17 season with a good Aintree.  Although not a part of the service’s official figures, I always include the results from the Aintree Festival in mine.  I see no reason why not to.

Tipster A experimented with a new staking system over the three days’ racing, designed to provide more flexibility in the way he can recommend his tips.  I know too that he has been disappointed in the season’s balance sheet as a whole, and is looking at ways he can improve again next year.  A tweaked staking system is one of these ways.  ROI 81.25%, ROC 6.5%.

And rather more quickly than I would prefer, on to the losing services!…

To be fair to Football Service 1, it was essentially a break even month.  I know some football bettors prefer to take it very easy during April and May, either decreasing the size of their stakes or not placing any bets at all in the belief that with motivation for some teams being questionable in the latter stages of the season, the form can’t be relied upon.  Personally, I have always continued betting as normal, and it has been no different this season. ROI -0.5%, ROC -0.16%.

There was a wonderful Monday for Racing Service B back on the 24th, with three winners advised from three bets at 7s (x2) and 4s.  This rather rescued what had been threatening to be a pretty poor month.  It was a shame that Tipster B couldn’t kick on from that and into profit over the course of the week in April that remained.  ROI -5.95%, ROC -2.97%.

The theme of looking straight into the eyes of a disastrous month before pulling things around and ending with at least an air of respectability was also in evidence when we turn to look at Northern Monkey’s month.  A series of good winners spread over the last week or so meant that what had looked like a mountain of losses ended up as not being too serious at all.  We’re about to enter the period of the year – late-spring/midsummer – when Wayne has been traditionally at his best, so here’s hoping May will be a good’un.  ROI -5.12%, ROC -5.85%.

I had an enquiry from a Jason James follower recently, concerned at the service’s current losing run.  I think that with a relatively high turnover service such as this one, the losing runs can feel worse than if enduring a drawdown from a low action tipster.  It’s all psychological of course, but the nature of this particular type of beast means that when a losing run hits, it feels like you’re losing money at a rapid rate.  When we look at JJ’s April figures, they don’t make for great reading, but they are hardly disastrous.  We need to remember too that although it might feel as if we’re losing money at a rapid rate when we lose with a service like Jason James, we also win money quickly when the winners kick back in.  ROI -12.32%, ROC -7.24%.

Pinpoint Golf is currently doing a thorough examination of their figures – Liam, the tipster, is disappointed that the official numbers do not accurately reflect how the model he utilizes has been performing in general.  Reluctant to sit down and examine the data before he has a sizeable sample to analyze (sensible fellow), Liam is now comfortable to be more forensic about his figures and has been sending out some fascinating emails outlining his findings.  Fingers crossed he gets the official figures somewhere near where he wants them to be in the year ahead.  ROI -10.25%, ROC 7.25%.

It’s not been a great month for Morning Value LITE but not a lot needs to be said.  It will continue chugging away and I’m sure the results will follow.  ROI -10.64%, ROC -7.66%.

And finally Chasemaster, which has found the going riding soft, heavy in places recently.  They don’t seem to be getting much luck at present, and let’s hope the boys turn it around soon.  They don’t appear to be panicking, and nor am I.  ROI -36.98%, ROC -11.65%.

So there we have it.  It’s not rained for a while it seems, which means the ground will be drying out and hopefully the form will settle down too.  If so, May I’m sure, will be a lot better than April has been.

The dangers of losing and how to deal with them.

One of the tipsters in my portfolio is having rather a tough time of things at the moment.  All will become clear as to who when I post up my review of last month’s betting, which I plan to do this coming weekend.  I thought in the meantime though that I’d write a little on how losing affects us and the way we approach our betting.

Common mistakes to watch out for.

What I have found over the years is that a spell that sees us consistently lose, very often leads us to making mistakes with our betting.  I remember reading somewhere that our brains are wired up in such a way that the effect of a losing bet has a far bigger impact on our psyche than does a winning bet.  Put another way, we are likely to find it harder to maintain a mental equilibrium when we are losing money than when we are winning money.

So what are the common mistakes that we must be so aware of avoiding when we are enduring a slump in our betting?

From personal experience, the biggest temptation is to lower stakes.  We’re losing money, perhaps at a frightening pace, so our subconscious instructs us to slow down the rate of loss…and we can do that by not betting as much.  The trouble with this of course, is that when the tipster you’re following regains their form – or, more likely if they have a proven long term edge, they come out of a period of what is simply natural variance having an effect – you’re rate of recovery is much slower than your rate of loss.  To use a mathematical illustration, if your losing service loses 50 points and your stake per point is £10, then obviously your drawdown is £500.  If when you’re £500 down you reduce your stake/point to £5, then when the tipster regains those 50 points, you’ll only have made £250.  You’re still £250 down when you should be level.

Personally speaking, I would now rather give up following a tipster completely than reduce stakes.  But of course, that is another very common mistake made by those who are going through a tough time.  It is so, so easy to convince yourself that your tipster has lost his edge when in reality he has done no such thing.  During a prolonged losing spell, it is inevitable that doubts creep into our heads about what we see as the cause of our pain – ie. the tipster we’re following who seemingly has lost the ability to back a winner.

I’ve done it myself, and more than once…say enough is enough with a tipster, and then check up on that tipster’s performance a few months later to see that he has regained all the losses I suffered and had kicked on to start making good profit again.  It’s enough to make you seriously question whether or not betting is for you.  And to be quite honest, if this is something you do on a repetitive basis, then perhaps betting isn’t for you.

The importance of preparation

So how do you prevent yourself from falling into these traps?

The simple answer is prior preparation.  Set your betting off on the correct footing and you will better prepare yourself for the tough times.  Here is a quick checklist of things you should and shouldn’t do:

  • THE most important thing is not to bet with money you can’t afford to lose.
  • Separate your betting funds from your day to day living expenses.
  • Don’t chase big profit right from the start – far better to start slowly with your betting and by reinvesting profit, build up your betting steadily as you go along.
  • Don’t set your expectations too high – better to aim for 25% ROC and be pleased with 50% than set your target at 100% and be disappointed/frustrated with 50%.
  • Be conservative with your betting banks for each tipster, particularly in the beginning – if the recommended bank is 80 points, there’s no harm is assigning 100 points to a service.  Doing so will give you an extra cushion during a rough patch,
  • Research any service you are considering before you join – see what their historical drawdown figures are and how long they took to recover from.  It will provide your betting with a relevant context.

Of course, there does come a point when it is right to stop following a service.  Deciding when is a very difficult thing to do and can be the subject of a different blog post.

I hope you’ve found this post useful.  Back over the weekend with a round-up of a not-too-pretty April…

Bet Diary Profit Report (16/17)

Rowan’s 2016/17 Bet Diary Profit Report has just been published and is now available for immediately download.

You can download the report in PDF file directly via this link

This special report highlights the overall performance of Rowan’s 8 strong tipster portfolio between April 2016 and March 2017. Rowan has also shared figures on how each of the 8 tipsters he currently follows has performed over the past year.

This special report syncs up with the weekly posts that Rowan provides on this tipster portfolio via the Bet Diary.

Bet Diary 2017 Cover

How Rowan’s Figures Equate To Real Profits

Over the course of the 2016/17 year, Rowan made a 58.76% Return on Capital (ROC) also known as Betting Bank Growth.

The 58.76% ROC figure is of great interest as it indicates just how a betting bank will have grown in relation to these profits.

If for example, Rowan began with £2,000 in April 2016, then a 58.76% ROC would have made him a £1,175.20 profit by the end of March 2017.

Had he began with £20,000 in April 2016, the same 58.76% ROC would have pocketed him a £11,752.00 profit by the end of March 2017.

Here are a few more examples of how the 58.76% ROC would have helped with different sums:

  • £5,000 Starting Bank in April 2016: Profit of £2,938.00
  • £15,000 Starting Bank in April 2016: Profit of £8,814.00
  • £25,000 Starting Bank in April 2016: Profit of £14,690.00
  • £50,000 Starting Bank in April 2016: Profit of £29,380.00

2015/16 Performance – Comparison

Rowan’s tipster profits in 2016/17 stand at a Return on Investment (ROI) of 8.8% and a Return on Capital (ROC) of 58.76%.

Last April, Rowan also penned a similar report, whereby his Return On Investment (ROI) was 7.2% and his Return on Capital (ROC) was 64.4%.

Therefore, in the past 12 months, Rowan has increased his ROI by 1.6% and decreased his overall ROC by 5.64%.

As a combination, Rowan has made a 123.6% ROC since April 2015.

It is pleasing to see the consistency in form that Rowan has achieved over both these years, having met his stated yearly aim of at least 50% Return on Capital.

How To Copy Or Even Improve On Rowan’s Profits

If you are keen to emulate Rowan (or even to simply copy his approach!) then you might like to consider a Secret Betting Club membership.

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See you on the inside.

Peter Ling
SBC Editor

Antepost betting – why and how.

I thought that Northern Monkey’s review of March, which was sent out to members a couple of weeks ago (obviously!), made for fascinating reading.

The official record for the service at the Cheltenham Festival was a loss of -3.88 points, but I felt that Wayne was being extremely hard on himself recording these figures.  My Northern Monkey Cheltenham gave me a profit of just over 7 points!

I was fortunate to miss a couple of antepost bets that turned out to be losers but what really helped me was by being careful as to where I struck my bets.  For day to day betting, I don’t necessarily take the best odds on offer in the market.  I always try to ensure I take the prices that I know Wayne will use for his official records as a minimum – ie. the lowest quoted price in the email, but taking standout prices is, I have learnt, one of the fast routes to account closures.

When it comes to antepost betting however, I will always take the best price and/or terms available.  No Runner No Bet (NRNB) terms are a punting Godsend and I will always choose a bookmaker offering this concession over one that is not.  This saved me at least a couple of points at Cheltenham on horses that Wayne recorded as losers because he hadn’t specifically advised his members to take the NRNB terms.

My rationale for taking standout prices and the best available terms when betting antepost is that this form of betting carries plenty of dangers as it is, so squeezing the very last drop of value out of every single bet placed is common sense as far as I am concerned.  You’d also like to think that as you can really only bet antepost on the biggest races, liquidity is always going to be strong and therefore betting patterns are likely to come under less scrutiny from the bookmaking bean counters.  I have no idea if this is the case, but there’s a logic to the theory, eh?

Wayne has indicated that he may not go in quite so heavy with the antepost bets next season, but I’ll be following any he does advise in with a strong level of confidence, despite the fact that the latest batch of antepost bets – for the Grand National at Aintree and across various races across the All Weather Championship card at Lingfield on Good Friday – failing to pay off.  Ultimately, antepost betting represents a chance to lock in some exceptional value, albeit with risks attached.  And we know that if we can do that consistently, we’re going to make money.

Betting from Saturday April 1st to Saturday April 15th

In short, it’s been a horrible start to the month.  Only three of the eight services in the portfolio have produced any sort of profit, and only one – Racing Service A – providing a significant level in straight cash terms.

Talking of Racing Service A, the end of term report was sent out to members last week, and very interesting reading it made too.  It’s not been a vintage season for the service, but as ever, A. is thinking of ways he can improve the experience for those following, with an emphasis on being able to get on at decent prices.  I’ll go into it in a bit more detail next time, but in the meantime the Racing Service A season signed off with a fine 25/1 winner on the first day of the Aintree meeting which was a most welcome winner bearing in mind how things are going elsewhere.

By far the highest turnover in April to date has come from Northern Monkey, and unfortunately so has by far the biggest level of loss.  Let’s hope normal service is resumed.

After last month’s heroics, Pinpoint Golf has yet to get it together in April, with The Masters providing no return at all from the week’s bets.

Chasemaster has been on a shocking run of form, but hopefully a decent winner late last week signify an imminent return to form, and it’s a similar story with Racing Service B.

Let’s see what this week brings.

Chasemaster: Staked 16.5pts, -8.7pts.

Jason James: Staked 61.5pts, +4.25pts.

Morning Value Service (Lite): Staked 26pts, -2.66pts.

Northern Monkey: Staked 49.5pts, -19.34pts.

Racing Service A: Staked 8pts, +3.25pts.

Racing Service B: Staked 42.5pts, -11.7pts.

Football Service 1: Staked 8pts, +1.43pts.

Pinpoint Golf: Staked 42pts, -25.5pts.

Total for April: ROI -20.36%, ROC -5.33%.

 

Rowan photo

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