6 Tips For Following Racing Tipsters On Betting Exchanges

It is common knowledge these days that if making money betting on horse racing, you will at some point encounter difficulty with either your stakes being restricted or your bookmaker account being closed.

There is hope that this may change in the future with the discussions surrounding a minimum bet law, which are certainly gaining traction in 2018.

Yet until such a time as bookies either agree or are compelled to lay all punters a decent bet, one of the most popular places to bet without issue are the betting exchanges.

So, to help you understand more on how to maximise this, I have put together this updated guide featuring 6 tips for following racing tipsters on betting exchanges…

1) UNDERSTAND WHEN MONEY HITS THE RACING EXCHANGE MARKETS

As an exchange-only racing punter, it’s important to understand that the vast majority of money only starts to flow into most racing markets approximately 10 to 15 minutes before the off.

(I say most as there are some obvious exceptions such as at Cheltenham or other big race meetings, which will see larger sums traded earlier)

To showcase this, compare the amount of money traded on Betfair for each of these 5 races that took place on a pretty standard Monday afternoon’s racing.

I simply noted down the amount of money traded at 3 time points: 21 minutes, 11 minutes and 1 minute before the off for each of the 5 races, which you can see below:

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Without exception, the most trading took place in the 11 minutes before each race started.

Take the 4.30pm race as one example – at 4.19pm, there was £60,925 traded yet come 4.29pm, this had jumped to £495,057.

Within 10 minutes an extra £434,132 had been traded – 87% of the entire market!

The knock-on effect of this is two-fold.

Firstly, it’s an understanding that most of the trading takes place during this time and when your exchange bet is most likely to be matched.

Secondly, it’s the knowledge that prior to the final 10 minutes, it is harder to get your racing bet accepted, especially if it’s based on advice coming from a popular tipster.

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2) CONSIDER BETFAIR SP TIPSTERS

One of the simplest angles to make a profit on the exchanges is by following tipsters that make a profit at Betfair SP (after commission of course!).

They offer the easiest, most simple approach as once a tip comes in – you simply place the bet, stick in your stake at Betfair and walk away.

Although the number of profitable Betfair SP tipsters is growing, it’s a fairly small pool to choose from currently.

One profitable Betfair SP tipster I rate highly is the free ‘place laying’ tipster providing their advice for free to SBC members currently. The tipster is called ‘The Accountant’.

Simply put, he recommends you lay their horses NOT to finish in the place money in any given race. That is not to finish in the first 2, 3 or 4 of a race depending on the number of runners.

Over the course of more than 800 lays and risking no more than 3% of your betting bank on any advised price lay, this tipster has grown a bank of £1000 to in excess of £2,500.

This is after 5% Betfair commission has been deducted from each profitable lay.

Providing one simple angle for those of you after a simple exchange tipster for you to follow.

3) DON’T BET IF THE VALUE HAS GONE

One of the most fundamentally important points to consider when betting is that of obtaining value.

All successful punting is based on the concept of value betting and the idea that the odds for any particular bet are priced in your favour.

Therefore, the odds you take on a bet really matter.

If you can get 5/1 on a horse that should be 4/1, then you have a strong value bet.

Yet if the same tipped up horse at 4/1 is only available at 3/1 – the opposite applies.

If you constantly are taking too short a price on a horse, you will lose money.

Which is why it’s important to ONLY bet if the value is still there.

Many good tipsters recognise this and put up minimum value odds to make you aware of where the value cut-off point actually lies. They recognise that a tip might see market support and if it does, you know where to draw the line.

If restricted to exchange betting, look out for this and stick to the minimum value thresholds – they are there for a reason and they will guide you as to the prices to take.

And whatever you do – never place a bet if the value has gone.

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4) RECOGNISE YOU WILL WIN SOME, LOSE SOME

Mindful of the need to take a value price, if exchange betting you must accept that sometimes you will miss out on a bet if the odds are too low.

Yet on the flipside, you might also get BETTER odds on other bets when the odds drift.

Whilst on occasions, you might miss out on a winning bet because you can’t get the right odds, on other occasions you will enjoy a bigger payout through this strategy.

If and when this happens, remember the logic behind it all and try to be as phlegmatic as possible.

All gamblers HATE missing out on winning bets, especially if they feel they should have been on it, yet they very rarely remember the times they missed out on a bet that lost.

My suggestion here is to consider keeping a record of each occasion you miss out on a bet (both winners and losers) or get a greater value price than you might have originally. Through this, you can track the ups and downs and see at a glance exactly how you have fared overall.

5) DON’T WORRY ABOUT DRIFTERS

Flowing on from this last point – don’t also get too bogged down by the idea that a ‘drifter’ (a horse whose odds get bigger as the race draws nearer) is no longer worth backing.

Racing pundits like to bang on about horses being weak or friendless in a market, yet the reality is they have no idea if this market move is significant or not. They are often just filling airtime.

If market support was so telling – everyone would simply lump on a horse at the first sign of it being backed in. Market support is no guarantee a horse is a ‘good thing’.

Unless there is clear evidence a horse has something wrong with it before a race, don’t be unperturbed by backing a ‘drifting’ bet.

Look at it instead as a chance to get better value. If you can get 10/1 about a tip advised as value at 6/1 earlier in the day – take it!

After all, unless the horse in question has a major problem – if a tipster you trust said that 6/1 is a value price, then 10/1 will represent a massive increase.

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6) CAN’T GET MATCHED STRAIGHT AWAY? PUT IN A REQUEST

If you can’t get on a bet earlier in the day at a value price, you might also like to consider putting in a request to get matched on the exchanges later on that day.

There are two ways you can do this – requesting a price pre-race and also in-play.

Pre-race betting is easy – you set the odds you want to take and put the request into the market to hopefully be matched. If come the start of the race it isn’t matched, the bet is cancelled.

Putting a bet in the in-play market is different as it ensures the bet will also remain available throughout the race as it takes place.

When doing this, it’s important to be aware that you will ALWAYS be matched in-play on any bet that loses the race BUT there is no guarantee you will be matched on a winner.

Therefore, you do have to approach in-play betting with caution and it is best when used in conjunction with watching a race live and an understanding of racing in general.

You also might only want to leave a bet to be matched in-play, when the odds pre-race are very close to those you wish to take OR perhaps risking only half stakes.

Equally if you have a good knowledge of racing, you might want to make judgements based on the competitiveness of each race, the merits of each horse (does it prefer setting the pace or being a backmarker) and the distance run.

MORE HELP EXCHANGE ONLY BETTING

I do hope over the course of this article, I have helped provide some answers to questions you might have about betting on the exchanges.

Here at the Secret Betting Club we have a burgeoning members section devoted to exchange-only betting.

Within this exchange section you can read our detailed reviews and analysis of a handful of profitable betting exchange-friendly tipsters.

Ideal for those of you either unable to bet with bookmakers or simply looking to bet on the exchanges as much as possible.

So, if you are you looking for a solution to help you turn a profit using the betting exchanges (or indeed the Asian football betting markets), you might like to consider a Secret Betting Club membership.

Join The Secret Betting Club.

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Why some racing tipsters quote misleading odds & how to avoid being duped

 

One of the most important issues facing many racing tipsters these days is that of odds availability.

Can you as a punter realistically obtain the odds that a tipster puts forward?

For some popular or free tipsters like Hugh Taylor and Pricewise it’s always been an issue as the weight of money behind their tips forces the odds in very quickly indeed.

Yet it is also now a growing issue for other less well-known tipsters too – especially horse racing experts that put up bets the night before a race runs.

Because whilst it might make sense to follow a tipster snapping up the earliest value – in reality, it can cause you all kinds of problems.

Allow me to explain more, including why some unscrupulous tipsters are taking advantage and catching unwary punters out

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The Evolution Of Racing Bookmaking

To help explain the current issue with taking early odds, it’s worth a quick walk down memory lane to understand how betting on racing historically worked.

Back in the good old days, most major bookmakers employed large teams of racing traders who would price up each race meeting and manage a traditional racing book.

As money flowed in a market, the odds for each horse would change as each firm managed their liability and tried to work an overall profitable position.

Occasionally, some bookmakers would find themselves getting filled in and taking a hit if getting it wrong, yet their in-built over-round always ensured that long-term, they would usually make a profit.

With the introduction of betting exchanges, all of this changed.

Nowadays, large-scale racing trading teams are a thing of the past, with almost all bookmakers basing their odds on what happens on Betfair.

If money comes in for a horse on Betfair – the bookie slashes its prices to reflect that. The opposite rings true on horses that drift in price although generally bookies are much slower to put their odds up than down!

Ultimately, the art of building a racing book has been lost.

And this in turn has impacted how we as punters get on and how the markets react to shrewd money.

Why Odds Are Odd When Betting Early

This sea change in the world of racing bookmaking has had a major knock-on effect for those punters keen to bet early – especially in your bog-standard racing fare.

For most horse races these days, you can expect to see the first odds start to appear around 4 to 5pm the day before racing is due to take place.

As the evening wears on, a few more firms will start to quote odds until there are a handful of bookmakers pricing up each horse in a race.

The problem is these prices are based on a very small amount of trading seen on Betfair – which is usually not much money at all.

And without a decent Betfair market to guide them and very little ‘racing expertise’, the bookies know they are vulnerable to shrewd punters who try and snap up the value odds on any overpriced horses at this point.

Therefore, even moderate sums of money coming in for a horse (especially at big odds) will see its price collapse in no time and the accounts of those placing such bets eyed with suspicion.

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Tipsters & Their Quoted Prices

It is this issue of slashing odds that causes such a problem for tipsters who post up bets the evening before racing.

The general logic is that the earlier a tipster puts up a tip, the greater chance its odds will move downwards*

*Although it’s important to make the distinction here that betting in the major race meetings such as Cheltenham or on the big Saturday/Sunday featured races won’t see the same level of movement.

For those tipsters with a large subscriber base, there is zero chance the quoted odds will hold up.

It’s all too common to see a price of 20/1 quoted by a tipster, yet within minutes it’s a best 16/1 or 14/1. Come the morning of the race its 10/1 and it starts at 8/1 SP.

Considering betting profitably is all about value, even a change from 20/1 to 16/1 can and does make a major difference to your bottom line.

Taking 8/1 or 10/1 on a 20/1 shot isn’t worth thinking about neither – and by doing so you are actually more likely to turn a loss then a profit.

A 26% Drop In ROI After Just 15 Minutes!

Yet despite these clear issues with early tips – some unscrupulous tipsters continue to wilfully take advantage and claim what might be termed ‘fictional odds’ for their advised bets.

A clear example of this came from one racing tipster we reviewed here at SBC in 2017 who claimed a ROI of 46.6% from 880 bets over a 14-month period.

A 46.6% ROI on the face of it is phenomenal – far and away the best ROI we would have ever seen from any tipster over a long-term period.

The problem was – yep, you guessed it. This tipster was putting up bets at 5/6pm the evening before racing that disappeared almost as quickly as he put them up. I know this because as part of the SBC review, my team tracked the odds movement for 135 of these tips, which revealed some significant differences.

These 135 tips in isolation fared well, hitting a 70.6% ROI during a purple patch for the service, yet within 15 minutes of the tip being advised, the overall ROI dropped as much as 24.6%

By 8am on race day, the difference was -60.2% ROI and by 10.30am, it was -67.5% ROI!

The average odds also went from 12.48/1 down to 10.88/1 within 15 minutes – suggesting the odds on his tips were slashed very quickly indeed. You can see the full findings below:

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So, whilst the odds this tipster quoted were indeed accurate at the time advised, practically no-one would be able to get on more than a few quid before the prices were slashed. Even if you did get on – most bookies would take one look at your betting history and quickly restrict or close your account.

You would be a marked man, because if there is one thing that will get a bookies attention it is constantly backing a horse that drops significantly in price after you get on.

Odds Tracking Is A Must For Any Racing Review

This story outlines very neatly exactly why every genuine tipster review MUST feature an element of odds-tracking.

We perform this as standard for every major tipster we review and whilst it is hard-work and time-consuming, it is hugely valuable.

We track not only performance to the quoted odds, but the best odds after 15 minutes, 60 minutes, at 10.30am, SP, Betfair SP and other relevant time periods.

By doing so we can quickly identify those tipsters putting up genuine odds and inform you as to how achievable the odds are (or not).

The tipster I reference above received a poor SBC rating following their review due to the very obvious odds availability issues. He certainly had an eye for a horse, but its highly unlikely many punters would be able to follow and obtain the same level of performance.

Instead of claiming a 46.6% ROI from these odds, he would have been far better aiming for a realistic 15% ROI by putting up bets at 10.30am when most punters could get on.

The good news is that there are numerous tipsters that we rate and recommend here at SBC who do play fair by the odds they quote for subscribers.

They might not be able to claim a 46.6% ROI, but at least you know what they do offer is realistic and fair.

Many of them can be found within our Hall of Fame listings and reviews, which you can obtain full details on with a Secret Betting Club membership.

Whatever you do though, be very wary of any tipster quoting results based on tips sent the day before racing. Very often you simply can’t match their results in practice!

P.s. If ever in doubt as to whether a tipster puts up genuine odds – be sure to ask them exactly when they put up their tips and how they settle their results. If they are putting them up the evening before racing and making no adjustments for odds movement, I would advise you to give them a miss!

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Join the Secret Betting Club now and see what all the fuss is about!

See you on the inside

Best Regards,

Peter Ling
Secret Betting Club Editor

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Anatomy of a profitable tipster: 5 KEY pointers to find a genuine tipping expert

 

I recently released the 2nd review from SBC’s 2018 Best Tipster Guide, focusing in great detail on one of the very best tipsters my review team and I have ever had the pleasure to examine.

But exactly what is it that the SBC review team (and therefore you) should look for in a tipster?

And what qualities does a tipster have for us to enter it into our Best Tipster Guide?

To help answer these questions, today I want to explore the anatomy of a profitable tipster with 5 KEY pointers for you to consider when weighing up whether a tipping service is for you or not.

To help, I will be using this latest Best Tipster Guide expert as a reference point and tackling topics like staking plans, profit levels, exchange backing, odds availability & much more besides…

Here then is my 5 point guide to finding a genuine tipping expert...

1) Long-term, consistent & realistic profit

Just like football managers, tipsters live and die based upon the results they achieve. If they don’t make a simple profit for you (over and above the cost of joining) then there really is no point to them.

Once there is a profit to view, then its also important that it is both relatively consistently achieved and realistic. You would be amazed at how many ‘profitable tipsters’ are nothing of the sort on this front.

For example – I recently explored a tipster with on the face of it a profitable record from over 800 bets, yet by digging into their results I found this record was massively skewed by a 200/1 winner. The profits from that 1 bet aside, the service had made a combined loss from the other 799 bets!

Contrasting with this, our Best Tipster Guide (BTG) expert has a consistent, long-term record with a profit from each season active. Some seasons higher, some lower but each profitable and an average seasonal profit of around 45 points.

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This general consistency is further backed up by the profit graph below that is useful as we can see any spikes (like a 200/1 winner) that might suggest problems.

Beyond a small plateau between the 600 and 700 bet marker, its been generally smooth upward progress for our BTG expert.

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2) A staking plan that works

When a tipster has a profitable strategy, one other simple way they can maximise this is through a staking plan.

The theory here is that you should stake more when there is greater perceived value from a tip and less when the opposite applies.

Once again our BTG expert ticks these boxes and by viewing their staking plan, we can see how the greater the amount staked, the greater the ROI.

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For example, the smaller staked bets (0.25 points) return a 16.8% ROI, whereas the maximum staked bets (1.5 to 2 points) hit a 38.8% ROI.

Proof positive this expert knows where the value lies as the greater you stake, the greater your profit.

3) Odds you can actually get

In today’s modern betting world, we must also be aware of the issues we might suffer in trying to get our bets on.

Bookmakers shift prices very quickly at the smallest sign of shrewd money on a racing bet, especially those placed early away from the big race meetings.

Even if you do manage to obtain a good price for your bet, if it should win and especially if it shortens in price dramatically before the off, you run every chance of suffering a bookmaker account restriction or closure.

Which is why its important to follow a tipster that takes this into consideration. If they are putting up a 33/1 hot racing tip at 6pm the night before racing and not accounting for any price movement should the odds be slashed, its a problem.

Again though, our BTG expert leads the way here with a policy of only tipping in big raceswhen markets are already formed and when you are able to back them easily in shops.

He explains more on his fair policy here:

Whenever I issue a tip now, it is my belief that it is possible for people to back it in bookmaker shops, should they choose to do so.

So, if I issue a tip the day before a race, it will be in races which are generally priced up at that time; whilst those tips issued in the morning, are only issued when shops are open and the horses can be backed within them.

I’ve actually got a few guys in the service who do exactly this (they have no online accounts) – and they achieve around 90% of the prices by backing in shops.

This also means that the prices of all the tips are relatively robust, because the markets have some maturity. Therefore, it should be possible to back the horses at (or close to) the price specified an hour or so later both with bookmakers and on exchanges.

My focus on big races, helps massively in this whole area, because they tend to be competitive fields, and therefore most of the horses get backed.”

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4) Backable on the Exchanges

Leading on from this last point – if you are restricted or shut down by the bookies, then the best route open to you is that of betting exchanges.

Smarkets, Matchbook & Betdaq are all now improving, low commission alternatives to Betfair and offer a genuine route to punters unable to bet with bookies.

Exchanges allow you to win as much as you want and won’t shut you down. They welcome your business, even if you are a winner.

Best of all, our BTG expert is one you can follow on the exchanges with only a 2.6% ROI drop (after exchange commission) from the sample of data we gathered following them with Smarkets.

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So rather than obtaining the 30.1% ROI as seen in my first point, you might instead make 2.6% less = 27.5% ROI. Still a very strong edge.

During the study, bets were generally placed between 9.30 and 10.15am, roughly 45 minutes to 1.5 hours after bet release.The sample size was decent – 508 bets and in short, the results demonstrated that backing these selections on big race days is viable on the Exchanges:

5) Affordable & easy to follow

Last but not least, there are some sensible things any good tipster will think about – namely the price and how and when they supply tips.

The price is right

The cost of any tipster should be reasonable and will allow you to make plenty of profit beyond it. The profit also should be within your reach to make a profit without staking at huge levels.

Our BTG expert charges just £250 for a full NH season and averages around 45 points profit each time out. Even a simple £50 per point strategy would see you make around 10X the cost of joining in an average season.

Time of bet supply

Its important to also have a clear understanding of how many bets are supplied by the tipster and when they are sent on.

If tips come through at random times with no warning then realistically how are you going to be setup to follow them properly? They might send them at 10pm one day and 10am the next. If you need to get on them quickly then you will often miss out on value altogether.

Again, the BTG expert ticks the boxes here as he uses three possible tipping windows: 17.00-18.00 the evening before racing, 8.30-9.30 am, and 11.00-12.00am.

You know therefore when to look out for possible bets and when exactly they might be heading your way.

Thanks For Reading..

Hopefully these 5 key points will help to guide you towards those genuinely profitable tipsters that can help you make money betting.

There are naturally more than just 5 points to consider for every tipster but the 5 above are some of the most important and where many punters are unwittingly caught out.

Reviewing and tracking tipsters is what we do best here at the Secret Betting Club – having been at the heart of the industry since 2006.

For those of you after more information on our service, you can read about our tipster review process here and crucially our 100% independent stance.

More details on the Best Tipster Guide can also be found here.

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Save £45 Right Now

By joining the Secret Betting Club today, you can also save a whopping £45 on the usual cost of a Platinum ‘Pro Punter’ membership (which provides access to the Best Tipster Guide)

This is because we have slashed the price of joining to ensure as many people as possible have access to our reports, magazines and guides.

We know we can make a difference to your punting – so why not sign-up right away and get started immediately. (There is a 90-day refund guarantee available after all)

See you on the inside.

Read more on how the Best Tipster Guide can help YOU

Best Regards,

Peter Ling

Secret Betting Club Editor

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How to check if a tipster is telling the truth

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In today’s modern betting world, one of the most essential points to consider before joining any tipster is an understanding of just how realistic the odds they quote actually are.

Or to put it in more simple terms:

Can you REALLY match the results a tipster claims?

Because, as important it is to check out a tipster’s expertise and their long-term results, it is pointless to join any tipster if you can’t get on their bets at the right odds.

After all, if a tipster says a bet is value at 16/1 and you can only get 10/1 at best, you are taking a price 37% lower than is recommended. The type of difference that can turn a profitable tipster into a losing one if repeated time and time again.

Whilst it is widely known that trying to match the quoted odds for some very popular tipsters like Hugh Taylor is nigh-on impossible, odds movement is also a problem for many lesser-known tipsters these days.

This includes tipsters that put up tips very early the day before racing in weak markets or those that quote odds with bookmakers known to slash odds at the first sign of money.

Very often they are claiming odds you can’t replicate and if not careful, you could end up badly out of pocket.

So, what should you do if wary about joining a tipster for fear of not getting the odds?

Allow me to explain using an example of how we tackle this issue here at the Secret Betting Club…

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Why Its So Important To Track A Tipsters Odds

For every tipster review I oversee at the Secret Betting Club, I engage a member of my team to track how the odds on each advised tip stack up.

This in-depth tracking is designed to discover:

  • How realistic the odds quoted by the tipster really are;
  • How easy it is (or not) to match these quoted odds;
  • How quickly the advised odds move downwards (if at all)
  • AND….How much money you can really make with any given tipster;

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To take a recent example – In the 2017 Best Tipster Guide, I reviewed a racing tipster for whom we had tracked the odds available for several months.

Painstakingly noting down the best odds for each tip as each day wore on to see how the quoted odds held up.

This tracking compared the advised odds by the tipster with the following: the best odds available on receipt of email, after 15 minutes, at 10.30am or 60 minutes later (whichever applied) and to SP.

To make this exercise even fairer we only noted down the odds offered from just 10 bookmakers.

What we ultimately discovered was that the odds quoted by the tipster were very fair indeed, with only a -0.2% to -0.6% ROI difference between those advised and those we could obtain.

Here is the full rundown of what we uncovered and how the ROI from this tipster will have reduced over each time period:

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Whilst there were bigger differences such as the -5.2% ROI difference at 10.30am and -14.3% ROI difference at SP, this is to be expected for any shrewd racing tipster.

Ultimately this was not a tipster you should be following at 10.30am or SP.

The clear evidence from this tracking was that this tipster is claiming achievable odds and is one to follow.

NOTE: This tipster advises the vast majority of their tips during the big race meetings and on Saturdays, where there is a lot more money swilling around in these markets.

PRO TIP: Look out for tipsters that put up bets in similar markets as you will often find they are much easier to get on!

Adjusted Profits Based On This Odds Tracking…

As I perform similar odds tracking for each tipster SBC reviews these days, I also compile all of this data and present it in our Adjusted Profits Tables to present the differences on show.

Helping you view at a glance as to which tipsters offer the fairest odds!

This Adjusted Profits Table is available in our latest Tipster Profit Report and helps to raise awareness of those tipsters with both fair and possibly, unfair practices when it comes to settling bets.

Allow me to illustrate the power of this table further by using two examples from the latest Adjusted Profits Table (as taken from November’s Tipster Profit Report), which are based on the annualised profits made to a £2,000 betting bank.

Note: This £2,000 betting bank figure is merely a simple comparative sum – you don’t need this sum to follow these tipsters, it just helps us to compare and contrast easily.

Example 1: Improve Your Profits By £665

In the example featuring Tipster 1 below, our tracking revealed that you could actually boost the claimed profits by as much as 4% within the first 15 minutes of their advising a bet.

This is down to an extremely fair policy whereby Tipster 1 quotes and settle all tips to a very achievable price. Simply by using a site like Oddschecker to compare the best odds you can often beat their results.

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To the £2,000 bank comparison sum, this 4% ROI difference in your favour over a year would be as much as £665 – a very considerable sum indeed.

Example 2: £3,554 Profit Becomes ‘Just’ £2,519

On the other hand, there are also those tipsters who quote what can be considered unrealistic odds as this next example proves.

If taking Tipster 2’s claimed results, you would have made a £3,554 profit – however with this service we noted major changes in price with an 8.5% ROI drop within the first 15 minutes.

This claimed £3,554 profit quickly became £2,519 – a drop of £1,035. Still profitable, but certainly not to the standards being claimed.

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It’s Not Just The Profits But Achievable Odds That Matter

Odds availability is a crucial element of any tipster analysis and ultimately helping you choose and find the best tipsters to make you money betting.

Therefore, before you consider joining a tipster, stop to consider just how available or easy their claimed profits actually are.

You need to know if you can match their advised prices…because it can ultimately determine whether you can make a profit or loss from their advice!

The good news is that there are many tipsters out there, including those in our Hall of Fame who operate fair odds availability policies.

Ensuring that at worst, you can match their claimed results and at best – even improve on them by using odds comparison websites.

Get The Full Adjusted Profits Table

You can find the full ‘Adjusted Profits’ Table in the latest Tipster Profit Report, where you can see the individual rundown of the odds tracking for each tipster we have observed.

It’s a great way to discover those tipsters that quote fair odds and where you can realistically match the profits they claim.

All SBC reviews also include odds tracking as standard these days, so you know at all times just how each tipster stacks up when it comes to fairness.

Odds tracking is all part of our quest to genuinely help you make money betting with tipsters.

Sign-Up With A 90-Day Money Back Guarantee

If you want to know more about the very best betting tipsters (including those that quote FAIR odds) then you might like to consider a Secret Betting Club membership.

Best of all, membership also now comes with the full peace of mind provided by our 90-day risk-free money back guarantee.

Sign-up for either a Gold or Platinum membership and if you don’t like what you see, you can get your money back at any time during your first 90 days as a member.

No questions asked!

If you sign-up and don’t like what we offer for any reason, email us and we will process a full refund. It’s that simple.

We offer this guarantee as we know the difference SBC can make to your punting – so why not sign-up right away and get started immediately.

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See you on the inside.

Peter Ling
SBC Editor

“90-DAY 100% SATISFACTION MONEY BACK GUARANTEE”……

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Updated: How Much We Have Made Betting This Year (So Far)

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Yesterday I published my interview with the SBC member up £4,200 in just 2 months from following some of the top tipsters recommended by my team here at the Secret Betting Club.

And to further showcase how easy it can be to make money betting, today I have more evidence of the profits being made following tipsters by SBC blogger, Rowan Day.

Rowan writes about the tipsters he follows on the free Bet Diary blog and inside his latest interim report (which you can download below), he writes about the exact profits made so far this year.

The good news is that its been another profitable year for him….Providing yet more evidence (were it needed) that the top rated tipsters we recommend are well worth following.

Click the link below now to read his latest report on the profits he is making!

Download Rowan’s Bet Diary Report PDF

 

159.55% Betting Bank Growth

Rowan’s simple and easy to follow tipster portfolio has been reaping great dividends ever since he first began writing about it on the Bet Diary in April 2015.

Since then, from this low-maintenance set of tipsters, he has made a total of 159.55% Betting Bank Growth and accumulated some excellent profits along the way.

The 159.55% figure is of great interest as it indicates just how a betting bank will have grown in relation to these profits.

If for example, Rowan began with £2,000 in April 2015, then 159.55% growth would have made him a £3,190 profit by the end of October 2017.

Not bad for placing just a handful of bets each day. Yet the profits could be far better…

Here are a few more examples of how the 159.55% figure would have helped with different starting points:

£5,000 Starting Bank in April 2015: Profit of £7,975.00

£15,000 Starting Bank in April 2015: Profit of £23,925.00

£25,000 Starting Bank in April 2015: Profit of £39,875.00

£50,000 Starting Bank in April 2015: Profit of £79,750.00

So whatever size bank you start with, there is an exceptional return available to you.

Whatever your background, experience or thoughts on tipsters – we know that here at the Secret Betting Club, our reports and reviews can make a difference to your betting bottom-line.

Helping you towards the goal of making money betting with tipsters.

Read More On The Bet Diary

If you want to read more from Rowan, then for the past 2 1/2 years, he has been writing a free weekly betting blog called the ‘Bet Diary‘ for SBC, through which he has outlined the ongoing profit (and occasional losses) the tipsters he follows have made.

Rowan follows just a handful of tipsters, which are a mixture of horse racing, football and golf tipsters that suit him and his commitments.

Its just one, very useful example of how with the right information you can beat the bookies (or exchanges) long-term.

Updated weekly, check out the Bet Diary for the latest from Rowan.

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How To Copy Or Even Improve On Rowan’s Profits

If you are keen to emulate Rowan (or even to simply copy his approach!) then you might like to consider a Secret Betting Club membership.

We provide you with all the information (both theoretical and practical) to help you make the most of betting for profit using professional tipsters.

Through access to the Secret Betting Club you can read all of our reports and magazines on the best tipsters for you to follow.

Best of all – you can sign-up now for either a Gold or Platinum subscription and enjoy a 90-day risk free membership. So if you find our service not to your liking (we don’t imagine you will!) then you can get your money back, no questions asked.

Sign-up now and get started with instant access.

See you on the inside.

Peter Ling
SBC Editor
www.secretbettingclub.com

P.s. What’s more, you can currently save £38 on the cost of subscription so don’t delay, sign-up right now and let us help you get started betting better right away!

“90-DAY 100% SATISFACTION MONEY BACK GUARANTEE”……

“I believe so strongly in SBC’s ability to help your betting, you can subscribe with a 100% cast-iron 90-day money back guarantee”.
SBC Editor – Peter Ling     Subscribe Now

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Winning Tipster Puts Up Bet, Slashes Odds (Or Do They??)

One of the biggest issues affecting us punters these days is without a doubt – getting our bets on and obtaining good value odds on the bets we strike.

With bookies sensitive to ‘shrewd money’ especially in markets like horse racing, sometimes obtaining a good price on the bet we want can be a real battle.

Tipster puts up bet, bookie slashes odds…

…or so it goes, especially for some of the most popular tipsters such as Hugh Taylor or Pricewise, where the prices they tip at (and all too often settle at) disappear in a matter of seconds.

Yet all is not lost as with the right data and experts to guide you – it is possible to find genuinely, winning tipsters that quote realistically achievable odds.

Let me explain how using a recent example of a profitable tipster we examined here at SBC.

Intensive Odds Tracking For Each Tipster

Mindful of the issue of odds movement, for each tipster we review here at SBC, we hire a specialist odds checker who tracks and records the odds available to see just how realistic they are.

This odds tracking helps to uncover:

  • How long the odds quoted remain available for;
  • How realistic the quoted odds actually are and if you can achieve them in practice;
  • How the odds move after set time periods (e.g. for a racing tipster – after 15, 30 & 60 minutes, at 10.30am plus Betfair SP);
  • Which bookmakers are being quoted and used.

Once you have this data, it allows you to make some very informed decisions on whether the odds quoted by a tipster are realistic or the biggest work of fiction since Harry Potter!

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Recent Tipster Review Example

To illustrate how this all works, here is an example from one recent tipster review we published.

The review itself focused on a very profitable racing tipster, who since 2012 had advised 2599 bets and made a 15.4% Return on Investment (ROI).

Their strategy was to advise bets in big feature races only, either the big Saturday Meetings or large Festivals like Glorious Goodwood or Royal Ascot. As these betting markets take a lot of money, most tips would be advised late in the evening or early in the morning.

For this particular odds tracking task, our in-house staff member monitored the odds for every tip advised over a 6 week period.

Only quoting the best odds if available with a small panel of bookmakers including: Bet365, BetVictor, BlackType, Betfair Sportsbook, Coral, Ladbrokes, Paddy Power, Skybet, Tote and William Hill.

During this 6-week period, our odds tracker monitored 76 bets in total and noted the following for each tip given:

  • The advised odds by the tipster;
  • The best odds available on receipt of tip email;
  • The best odds 15 minutes after receipt;
  • The best odds at 8.00am, 
  • The best odds at 10.30am 
  • The performance at SP

And here is what he found, with the drop between the advised odds and each other category illustrated by the Estimated ROI difference.
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Marginal Odds Movement – Especially Before 8am

Breaking down this table – we noted straight away that there was very little difference in the odds available both immediately and after 15 minutes had elapsed with just a -0.2% and -0.6% swing.

Even at 8am, the difference between the advised odds and what you could obtain was -1.6% and at 1030am, whilst the odds had shifted further, the difference was -5.2%

Remember this service has made a 15.4% ROI long-term, so if getting on by 8am in the morning, you would only lose -1.6% ROI at worse. Leaving you with an actual real-life ROI of 13.8%.

If you couldn’t get on until 10.30 am, this 15.4% ROI, would drop to 10.2% ROI. Not ideal certainly, but still allowing you the chance to get on and make a fair profit.

Ultimately, we have to come to expect with any profitable racing tipster that there will be a degree of odds movement over time. The fact that the possible ROI differences within 15 minutes are as small as -0.6% and leaving you with a 14.8% ROI in reality is very good in today’s betting world.

It is also very important to note how likely it is you might obtain better odds if having access to more firms than the 9 we quoted from in our odds tracking exercise. Opening up the potential to even beat the quoted odds performance.

Why The Bookmakers Quoted Also Matters!

It’s also important to understand which bookmakers are quoted when a tip is put forward and our odds tracking exercise allowed us to report on this as well.

Let’s face it, if a tipster is quoting standout odds of 16/1 with a firm such as Boylesports (widely known to be amongst the worst for restrictions) there is next to no chance you will get on if showing a modicum of profit.

Below you can find the detail on those bookmaker firms that this tipster used the most, with Bet365 clearly the most popular and quoted on 42.3% of occasions.

After that, came Paddy Power, Bet Victor and William Hill with a combined 36.3% of all bets, followed by a few bets with the likes of Stan James, Ladbrokes, Betway, Skybet & Coral.

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Love or hate the likes of Bet365, they are not known as the worst culprits when it comes to either restricting accounts or slashing odds – which makes sense given the odds tracking study we ran.

I have made around 20k per year extra”…

I used to work as trader for Paddypower and Sportsbet so i have an obvious interest in betting. [Using Tipsters] I have made around 20k per year extra.”    
As written by Justin – An SBC member since December 2013

Click here to read more from Justin on his SBC membership experience

How Our Unique Member-Funded Model Can Help You

The above is only a small excerpt from our detailed review of this particular service, but hopefully it goes to show how our analysis can help you genuinely find those tipsters who’s advised odds can be trusted.

For every tipster review we publish, you can expect to read concerted odds tracking analysis to help you understand just how the odds stack up (or not!)

We don’t just analyse odds movements in our reviews either.  We break down other factors such as yearly performance, monthly performance, performance by odds band, performance by racing code, and performance to Betfair Starting Price to name just a few.

We are able to go into such detail in our reviews due to the unique way we are funded by our members. This allows us to not only report back independently (so no affiliate links) but also to spend hours and hours investigating profitable tipsters.

Providing you with evidence of the tipsters making money in practice, not just in theory!

So if you wanted to see how our reviews and reports can help you – why not consider a Secret Betting Club membership?

Best of all, you can currently save up to £38 on the cost of subscription so don’t delay, sign-up right now and let us help you get started betting better right away!

<< JOIN THE SECRET BETTING CLUB TODAY >>

See you on the inside.

Peter Ling
SBC Editor

“90-DAY 100% SATISFACTION MONEY BACK GUARANTEE”……

“I believe so strongly in SBC’s ability to help your betting, you can subscribe with a 100% cast-iron 90-day money back guarantee”.
SBC Editor – Peter Ling     Subscribe Now

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16 ‘ Bad Tipster’ Warning Signs & The Bookie/Tipster Profit Share Problem

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Last week I was pleased to be quoted in an article published by the Guardian newspaper on the growing issue of tipsters and betting websites profiting from advising losing tips.

You can read the article in full here and whilst some of the phrasing at times I disagree with (for example I don’t think all tipsters involved are deliberately recommending losing tips – some after all are just bad at tipping) it serves to illustrate the problems that can confront you when seeking out quality tipping advice without expert guidance.

The problem the Guardian highlighted is one created by bookmakers who incentivise bad tipsters by offering a profit share of the losses their tips make from the customers they refer. This is done through what are termed ‘affiliate programs’ which are commonly used by many legitimate businesses across all kinds of industries.

Whilst I have no beef with affiliate programs per se – those that reward people with a profit share of losses are always going to be open to abuse and I am pleased to see this being clamped down on.

To illustrate the scale of the problem, this intriguing Football365 article made allegations about one particularly popular social media tipster with questions to answer on this front.

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How To Avoid Tipster Scams

Frustrated by the bad name these loss-share tipsters are giving the industry, one long-running and highly respected racing tipster, Wayne, owner of the Northern Monkey Punter tipster service shared his own ‘signs of a bad tipster’ shortlist on Twitter.

And with Wayne’s permission, I have copied his ‘signs of a bad tipster’ shortlist below and added a few extra points of my own to watch out for!

16 Signs Of A Bad Tipster…

  1. Tipsters who ‘Boom’ on social media when they have a winner.
  2. Tipsters who don’t have a proper registered website or address for transparency. After all, if they don’t have the time and wherewithal to setup a website these days – how serious can they really be?
  3. Tipsters with a short history of past bets. You need many hundreds, if not thousands of past bets to see if a tipster has a long-term edge. Otherwise they might have just got lucky!
  4. Tipsters that post bets with bookmaker affiliate links. As the Guardian article outlines, this is a warning sign that they might be taking up to a 30% cut from any losing bets you place with the bookmaker they are recommending.
  5. Tipsters who don’t proof their advice to a trusted third party (like SBC) who can verify them as a genuine expert. Also ensures losers can’t be conveniently deleted.
  6. Tipsters that don’t put up their full history of results for you to view (not just the winners!).
  7. Racing Tipsters who settle bets at prices available 5pm the night before racing. Several high-profile tipsters do it, yet these prices are not obtainable to punters staking more than £20. Even if you can get on, you will have your stakes restricted and accounts closed quickly.
  8. Tipsters that settle bets with prices available with poorly rated firms who are quick to restrict punters with even a modicum of ability. The likes of Stan James, Boylesports & Betfred are 3 notorious for this practice.
  9. Tipsters that settle bets at one standout price with just one bookmaker. If following a popular tipster, the chance of you matching those odds are minimal.
  10. Tipsters that contact you via post – where exactly have they got your details from? Some claim they will pay you if you the bet loses and request commission on winners should it win. Its total rubbish. The reality – they’ll run a mile if the bet loses and you’ll never hear from them again.
  11. Tipsters that claim to have inside information. Many members of the public think racing is fixed and so some rogue tipsters try to play on that idea by claiming to have inside information. This information is almost always totally bogus and you are being taken for a ride.
  12. Tipsters with no concept of value. They put up the most likely winner of the race (even if a 1/4 favourite) and never discuss odds.
  13. Tipsters who give no reasoning behind their bets (system based tipsters can be excused here) but surely you want to know why a tipster fancies a bet before you place it?
  14. Tipsters who post doctored images of winning bet slips from unproofed bets. It’s very easy these days to make up ‘winning bet’ slips and you can’t take them at face value as proof of success.
  15. Tipsters who quote winning amounts totally out of context – for example ‘Service X has made £5000 during Ascot’ with no stakes given to put that figure into perspective. It’s just a headline grabbing exercise. What if you had to risk £500,000 to make that £5,000? That doesn’t look so good after all does it!
  16. Tipsters who provide no advice or guidance on betting bank management and a staking plan to follow. If they are making up this as they go – chances are they are doing the same with their tips.

My thanks to to Wayne for sharing these tips. For further reading on him – check out our 2016 case study of why we rate Wayne’s service so highly.

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How To Find The Right Experts To Follow

Whilst there are undoubtedly plenty of rogue tipsters out there, especially on social media (where it is very easy to create new accounts and delete posts) there are equally many genuine, professional tipsters such as Wayne for you to follow.

If you are interested in learning more on just who these tipsters are including detailed, independent reviews of what they offer and who it is suitable for, then the Secret Betting Club is here to help.

Access to our service provides all the expert guidance you need on the tipsters to follow – those proven to genuinely make their follower money (and not the bookmakers!)

You can currently save £38 on the cost of subscription so don’t delay, sign-up right now and let us help you get started betting better right away!

Join the Secret Betting Club today and learn how we can help you and your betting.

Best Regards,

Peter Ling
Secret Betting Club Editor


pete

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Parts 1 to 5 Essential Football Compendium 2017/18 Season Now Available

The 5th and final part of SBC’s 2017/18 Essential Football Betting Compendium is now available – our exclusive review of the Football Tipping Expert profitable across all 4 major English leagues.

With a record of 1047 points profit as generated from 2700 bets across the past 5 seasons in the Premier League, Championship, League 1 and League 2 – this expert has really grabbed our attention.

Our review explores the profits made by this service, including a look at some intriguing compound staking options and details on the exclusive subscription options for SBC members interested in joining.

You can read this review and the other 4 parts of our new football season guide the instant you join the Secret Betting Club.

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Also – Grab Parts 1, 2, 3 & 4 Of Our New Football Season Compendium

Alongside instant access to this English Tipster Review (Part 5), you can also access Parts 1, 2, 3 & 4 of our 2017/18 Essential Football Compendium the instant you join the Secret Betting Club.

Part 1 is our Sports Tipster Report which features updates on 24 of the best sports betting experts we continually monitor. Including details on the new Hall of Fame Tennis tipster hitting a 10.5% ROI from 1480 tips AND the Baseball expert averaging 133% betting bank growth each year.

Part 2 is our 17/18 Football Tipster Guide, which features our take on 12 of the very best football tipsters we monitor with updated ratings, rankings and recommendations for the new season. You can also read detailed interviews with several of the expert tipsters included on their strategies for the coming season and how best to maximise their advice.

Part 3 is our in-depth review of The Football Guru service from the Betting Gods tipster network. We examine their pre-match and in-play tips from this popular expert to gauge exactly how their performance stacks up. For those interested in the service, there is also a free 60 day trial available.

Part 4 is our Exchange & Bet Broker Guide, providing the rundown on 4 of the best firms to bet with both this coming season and for other sports such as Horse Racing, Golf & Tennis. It also includes an interview with each of the firms on what they offer, the advantages of using them and who they are suitable for. A must-read if you want to get better value odds!

Join SBC Risk-Free Now (90 Day Money Back Guarantee)

You can gain full access to the 5-part Essential Football Compendium the instant you sign-up as a Secret Betting Club member.

What’s more, you can also now join with the full peace of mind provided by our full 90-day make money guarantee.

Sign-up for either a Gold or Platinum membership and if you don’t like what you see, you can get your money back at any time during your first 90 days as a member.

No questions asked!

If you sign-up and don’t like what we offer for any reason, email us and we will process a full refund. It’s that simple.

Best of all if joining the Secret Betting Club today you can also save up to a whopping £38 on the usual cost of membership.

This is because we have slashed the price of joining to ensure as many people as possible have access to our reports, magazines and guides.

We know we can make a difference to your punting – so why not sign-up right away and get started immediately.

See you on the inside.

Best Regards,

Peter Ling
Secret Betting Club Editor


pete

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The Football Acca Tipster Up 55% ROI In 2 Seasons

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A few months back I released details on the recommended football tipster making outstanding profits from his football acca (accumulator) tips.

Well the good news is this football guru has continued to ramp up the acca profits and he has just released a guide for the new football season to reveal all about his methods. (which you can download for free – details follow…)

The tipster in question is called Matchday Profits and as as one of the featured experts in our brand new 2017/18 Football Tipster Guide, its a great example of just how you can make money betting if following the right experts.

So far, Matchday Profits have made 133 points profit at 55% Return on Investment from acca betting alone with a 63% strike-rate of success! 

Download The Free ‘How To Win With Football Accas’ Guide

Matchday Profits is the brainchild of football betting guru, Paul Ruffy and we have been proofing his winning acca advice since the start of the 2015/16 season.

To showcase his profitable acca acumen, Paul has put together a free 12-page guide on his betting strategy for you to download.

>> Click Here To Get Your Free Guide <<

Within this free guide you can read:

  • How he has turned the tables on the bookies (who view acca punters as cash cows);
  • Why his method is safe to follow (he is not bonus bagging)
  • His ‘Bankers & Base’ acca strategy and how you can replicate it;
  • His performance with and without acca insurance;
  • The best ‘acca’ bookmakers to place your bets with.

 

133 Points Profit @ 55% ROI Last 2 Seasons!

I am happy to recommend Paul and his Matchday Profits service, having proofed and reviewed it on behalf of SBC members since it began.

I have been hugely impressed by his unique and sensible strategy to make a profit betting on football accas, which traditionally have been viewed by bookmakers as a very lucrative market (It attracts what they term ‘mug-punters’).

Paul has turned this on its head as his table of results below prove (presented both with and without the of ‘acca insurance’)

  • With Acca Insurance (whereby bookies refund your stakes if 1 leg of your acca loses) he has made 133.09 points profit at 55% ROI from 240 accas.
  • Even if betting without Acca insurance, you will still have made 73.29 points profit at 31% ROI.

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You can read much more about his approach to acca betting and exactly why we rate his service so highly in his free guide.

Its a simple 12-page PDF that could make a massive difference to your football betting profits this season!

>> Click Here To Get Your Free Guide <<

 

Save 25% On Matchday Profits With SBC (Limited Offer)

In an exclusive deal, all Secret Betting Club members can now also save 25% on the cost of a year’s subscription to Matchday Profits.

Instead of the usual price of £127 for a year, through the special discount link provided to you as a Secret Betting Club member, you can join Paul’s service for just £95.25

But be warned – Paul tells me that he can only offer this discount for a limited time only. Due to demand, he expects to have to remove this offer in the very near future.

So if you want to follow him in – NOW is the time to act.

As ever, this special saving is ONLY available to Secret Betting Club subscribers as part of the unique ‘Tipster Discounts‘ we negotiate on their behalf.

Due to the way SBC is funded by member subscriptions – we are able to negotiate these unique deals and pass 100% of the savings onto you as a member. Helping line your pockets, not ours!

Once you have signed-up for your Secret Betting Club subscription, simply visit our members area, click on the ‘Tipster Savings’ link and you will find full details on how to take-up this special discounted Matchday Profits subscription (plus several other major trials and discounts unique to SBC!)

<< JOIN THE SECRET BETTING CLUB TODAY >>

See you on the inside.

Peter Ling
SBC Editor

“90-DAY 100% SATISFACTION MONEY BACK GUARANTEE”……

“I believe so strongly in SBC’s ability to help your betting, you can subscribe with a 100% cast-iron 90-day money back guarantee”.
SBC Editor – Peter Ling     Subscribe Now

pete

 

Under The Microscope: 2017/18’s Best Football Tipsters

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The new season is nearly upon us and to help you find the best football tipster(s), you must check out our fantastic new 2017/18 Season Football Tipster Guide!

Inside it features our take on 12 of the very best football tipsters we monitor with updated ratings, rankings and recommendations for the new season.

You can also read detailed interviews with several of the expert tipsters included on their strategies for the coming season and how best to maximise their advice.

Sign-up now to gain instant access (and the entire SBC back catalogue)

The 2017/18 Season Football Tipster Guide

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Significant SBC Member Discounts

Inside the 2017/18 Season Football Tipster Guide you can also read details on several significant discounts available on the cost of these tipsters – exclusively available to SBC members.

You can often save more than the cost of a Secret Betting Club membership with many of these discounts combined!

The discounts include:

  • 15% discount on a top rated South American tipster
  • 10% discount worth £34.90 on a major football league tipster
  • Up to £40 off the cost of one of the most popular system based tipsters
  • A 25% discount on the cost of the Matchday Profits service (worth £31.75)
  • £100 off the cost of a season with a well liked Scottish football expert
  • 60 Euros discount on the cost of a season with a non-league football guru

Full details on these savings (and many others) are available to you with access to the Secret Betting Club website.

Subscribe now to take full advantage and save!

Team Up With These 2 Other SBC Reports

An an SBC member you can also access two other reports to help provide you with the most comprehensive guide to the best tipsters: The latest Sports Tipster Profit Report AND Horse Racing Tipster Profit Report.

The Sports Tipster Report was released last week and features updates on 24 of the best sports betting experts we continually monitor. Including details on the new Hall of Fame Tennis tipster hitting a 10.5% ROI from 1480 tips AND the Baseball expert averaging 133% betting bank growth each year.

Secondly, our latest Horse Racing Tipster Profit Report was released in June and provides the complete rundown on the best 34 racing tipsters for you to follow. Including the on-fire racing expert averaging 6X betting bank growth annually AND the free tipster up £2713 since June 2016.

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 Gain Instant Access & Save Up To £38 On An SBC Membership!

If you want to know about the best football tipsters (Plus horse racing, tennis, golf, nba, nlf and darts) then why not subscribe to the Secret Betting Club today and gain instant access to all these reports and more!

Best of all if joining the Secret Betting Club today you can also save up to a whopping £38 on the usual cost of membership.

This is because we have slashed the price of joining to ensure as many people as possible have access to our reports, magazines and guides.

We know we can make a difference to your punting – so why not sign-up right away and get started immediately. (There is a 90-day money back guarantee available after all!)

Best Regards,

Peter Ling
Secret Betting Club Editor

pete