Month: November 2011

The Niche Bets That Turned £1000 into £1714.50 In Just Over 2 Months

Posted on by Mike

One of the best ways to get one over on the bookmaker, is to take them on in events they know precious little about, or simply don’t have the time to research properly.

We call this ‘niche betting’, whereby you develop more expertise in a very specific area of betting – and in doing so, are able to spot when the bookies prices are wrong.

One such proven niche betting expert is a chap who goes by the name of Skeeve, who despite hailing from Eastern Europe – is now a renowned expert on non-league football in England.

It may sound bizarre that someone so far away can be clued up on the fact Braintree are missing a key midfielder or that Chelmsford’s on-loan star is suspended due a sending off in the Hampshire Senior Cup, but it’s true. Continue reading →

Sportsman Racing: Roque Threat To Long Run Double

Posted on by Mike

In this regular Monday segment, racing expert Scott Armstrong rounds up all the action of note from this weekend’s racing for SBC Blog readers.

The flat season wound up with the International Breeders Cup proving very difficult to fathom with the Breeders Cup Mile won by the rag Court Vision at 66-1. Worry not as the jumping sphere takes over now and I’m like a kid at Christmas with the big guns starting to emerge from hibernation.

On Saturday Quito De La Roque laid down a threat to Long Run’s Gold Cup double aspirations with a gutsy one-and-a-quarter length triumph over Sizing Europe in the Down Royal Champion Chase.

Bostons Angel and Quito De La Roque – two of the most successful staying novice chasers in Ireland met in the Grade 1 Fort Leney Novices’ Chase at Leopardstown last December with honours going to Bostons Angel. The form of the whole season however suggests Quito De La Roque is the superior horse. Having thrashed Bostons Angel over hurdles in 2009/10 Quito De La Roque made a jumping error at the second last in the Fort Leney but unperturbed he stayed on strongly to lose by only three-quarters of a length. If Quito De La Roque had run in the RSA Chase last season I think he may have won it and it should pay to follow this strong stayer over the coming months. The Gold Cup where Quite De La Roque has been cut to 20-1 looks to be tilting at windmills in terms of troubling Long Run but if connections set their sights lower he can put up a bold show at the Festival. Continue reading →

Sportsman Racing: One Last Hurrah For Goldikova?

Posted on by Mike

Welcome to our latest column from Scott Armstrong of The Sportsman tipster service.

Each Friday, Scott provides us with a rundown of all the best weekend racing action – including the key  horses to follow and those to oppose. You can also find a recap from him each Monday on the SBC Blog with his reaction to the weekend’s events. Thorough, frank and not afraid to take a contrary view, Scott Armstrong is a racing man whose opinion you can’t afford to be without.

The Breeders Cup Stateside spectacular is the highlight of the weekend’s racing while in the UK there is a decent flat card at Doncaster including the November Handicap and some fine chasers and hurdlers make their seasonal outings at Wincanton.

The Breeders Cup Mile is the headline race of the weekend and the European horses head to Churchill Downs with a decent record of 19% wins from all runners at the track. The exceptional mare Goldikova will be hoping to say her farewell’s to a reverent public with a massive win and I believe she can. Successful on all three previous races in the Breeders Cup she loves this track and the manner of Stateside racing. Continue reading →

Will The Premier League Goal Fest Continue?

Posted on by Dan

In this article, the analysts from the excellent Form Lab software analyse the current Premier League goal glut

Football pundits are falling over themselves to explain how the recent goal fest proves that the Premiership is the best league in the world. With eight goals in the recent London derby and seven goals at the Manchester derby, football fans have certainly been getting their money’s worth.

While many now point to this as being the start of a golden season, the reality is that this season is more likely to be simply…..average. Let us show you why.

The first 10 weeks…

In the 99 games seen so far in the Premier League, there has been an average of 2.97 Goals Per Game (GPG). This is comfortably above the 2.59 GPG average for this point in the season, but still below the record average of 3.00 GPG for the first 10 weeks in 2009/10. Continue reading →

Premier League Fink Tank Value Betting Results Update

Posted on by Dan

This season in the Premier League, we have been using the free Fink Tank/ Dectech ratings to help us spot value bets.

We tested the Fink Tank ratings on the EPL last season using the same value betting approach and found some very positive results. Click here for a summary of the results and an outline of how we identified a value bet from the ratings.

Essentially if the ratings give a better chance that the bookie odds are implying, you take the bet. If the ratings give a team a 40% chance of winning and the bookies are implying just a 30% chance, then you have a value bet. It may not be the most likely winner, but if you buy enough things at under market value, eventually the profits will emerge through the short term noise.

We’ve been tracking all the qualifiers this season for our members on our forum [membership required]. First here’s a recap on last season’s results. Continue reading →

Champions league value bets: Man City over priced at Villarreal

Posted on by Dan

Value bets for the group stages:

Using the Fink Tank/ Dectech ratings we can also hunt out some value bets the upcoming group stage matches. We tested the Fink Tank ratings on the EPL last season using a value betting approach and found some very positive results. Click here for a summary of the results and an outline of how we identified a value bet from the ratings.

Essentially if the ratings imply a better chance that the bookie odds are implying, you take the bet. If the ratings give a team a 40% chance of winning and the bookies are implying just a 30% chance, then you have a value bet. It may not be the most likely winner, but if you buy enough things at under market value, eventually the profits will emerge through the short term noise.

Here’s what the ratings threw up in the last round of Champions League games. 

Results so far: 
The ratings have flagged up lots of value in the underdogs, but so far, the ratings haven’t landed any major shocks.
Bets: 45
Profit/ loss: -17.75 points
Tuesday’s games:  
First up, here are the English team’s chances tonight according to the Dectech ratings:
  • Villarreal vs Man City: Man City 51.6% Chance. No value with City.
  • Man U vs Otelul: Man U 87.2% chance. No value with Man U.
  • Arsenal vs Marseille: Arsenal 56.1% chance. No value in Arsenal.
  • Genk vs Chelsea: Chelsea 71% chance. No value with Chelsea.
The English clubs are all likely winners but the bookies are offering no value according to the ratings. Continue reading →

A Free Racing System To Make Your Profits Rise This Fall

Posted on by Mike

Autumn time (or the ‘Fall’ as our American friends call it) is an exciting time for horse racing fans as we see the start of the jumps season proper and some high quality racing fare.

It’s also a great time for betting if you have the right expertise to guide you and to help with this, we have a racing system that has made nearly £6000 to £50 stakes in the last 6 months alone.

The great news is that you can follow it for free! Read on to find out more.

October – The Most Profitable EVER Month For Our System.

Whilst most things in Autumn are fading away, our free 4 Pronged Attack System (4PA) is hitting its straps after its best ever month in October.

From just 17 bets and 25 pts staked, the 4PA made a huge 40.29 pts profit. This is a return on investment of 161.16% – a figure unheard of in racing circles! Continue reading →

Chase Racing: Why Not Every Horse Is Trying 100%!

Posted on by Mike

Welcome to our first column from Peter Cousins and the team of chase racing experts from the Chasemaster tipster service.

For the past 3 years, Chasemaster have been making serious profits backing and laying in specialist chase races and each fortnight on the SBC Blog he will be sharing some of the secrets of his success.

Hi, Peter from Chasemaster here with the first of a hopefully fortnightly blog. Our expertise as the name suggests relates to chase racing and we’ll be looking back at a number of races, which will hopefully throw up some good priced winners.

It’s important to understand that this is not a “horses to follow” list to be blindly backed. We won’t know the circumstances of entries but we will try and indicate future required conditions to make the horse a value bet.

The headline will give you some idea of one of the methods we use and it is certainly true that not all horses are trying 100% to win each race. Let me explain why and how we can use this to good effect in the betting markets… Continue reading →