Update on the performance of the Fink Tank Ratings

This season, we’ve be tracking the performance of the free Fink Tank Ratings model. The test has been relatively simple – If the best bookmaker odds imply value according to Fink Tank’s predictions, we take the bet.

No bets this weekend with the FA cup taking over.

Update Jan 29th 2011.

I’ve missed a few mid week matches, but most of the weekend fixtures are here.

Overall the performance has been:

Points Profit: 32.28
Bets: 189
ROI (Profit on turnover): 17%

It’s still a healthy return over the season, but its interesting to note that all the profits have come from the away picks. The home games have been break even so far. If you break these down though, any home pick with 10% value or more has returned 7.68 points with a 12.5% ROI which is decent.

If you like this sort of analysis, then a Secret Betting Club membership could be right up your street.

Mike's Football Bets 28th January

No bets in the Premier League this weekend as the FA Cup action dominates, although I will be posting some bets early next week as there is a full card of games midweek to look forward to. Be sure to check the SBC Blog for full details.

I find the FA Cup a very tricky competition to bet upon, due to the amount of uncertainty about the strength of sides being put out these days.  For example – are Birmingham a worthy bet at 1.80 at home to Coventry? They already are in the Carling Cup final and with a relegation dogfight looming I can see a less than enthused showing from them. It would only be total guesswork if placing a bet I feel.

Still the blank weekend gives the chance to re-cap on how the season is going and January has continued recent good form making 3.10 pts from 9 pts staked. This takes the seasonal tally to 8.49 pts profit from 75 pts staked at an ROI (Return of Investment) of 11.33%.

Month

Bets

Stakes

Profit

ROI

Aug-10

9

4.5

-1.54

-34.22%

Sep-10

8

9

0.53

5.89%

Oct-10

15

13.5

-1.585

-11.74%

Nov-10

22

23

5.32

23.13%

Dec-10

15

15.5

2.665

17.19%

Jan-11

9

9.5

3.105

32.68%

Total

78

75

8.49

11.33%

 

The table above includes 9 ante-post bets and if the league finished today it would generate a further 2.88 pts profit from them. I will be continuing to monitor all ante-post action and will supply additional bets to lock in profit, should opportunities arise.

Whatever you bet on, good luck!

Mike

Mike’s Football Bets 28th January

No bets in the Premier League this weekend as the FA Cup action dominates, although I will be posting some bets early next week as there is a full card of games midweek to look forward to. Be sure to check the SBC Blog for full details.

I find the FA Cup a very tricky competition to bet upon, due to the amount of uncertainty about the strength of sides being put out these days.  For example – are Birmingham a worthy bet at 1.80 at home to Coventry? They already are in the Carling Cup final and with a relegation dogfight looming I can see a less than enthused showing from them. It would only be total guesswork if placing a bet I feel.

Still the blank weekend gives the chance to re-cap on how the season is going and January has continued recent good form making 3.10 pts from 9 pts staked. This takes the seasonal tally to 8.49 pts profit from 75 pts staked at an ROI (Return of Investment) of 11.33%.

Month

Bets

Stakes

Profit

ROI

Aug-10

9

4.5

-1.54

-34.22%

Sep-10

8

9

0.53

5.89%

Oct-10

15

13.5

-1.585

-11.74%

Nov-10

22

23

5.32

23.13%

Dec-10

15

15.5

2.665

17.19%

Jan-11

9

9.5

3.105

32.68%

Total

78

75

8.49

11.33%

 

The table above includes 9 ante-post bets and if the league finished today it would generate a further 2.88 pts profit from them. I will be continuing to monitor all ante-post action and will supply additional bets to lock in profit, should opportunities arise.

Whatever you bet on, good luck!

Mike

An Update On The Football Tipsters To Follow

With just over half the football season now gone, it’s high time I updated you all on the performance of our top-rated football tipsters since the 2010/11 season began back in July.

Those of you reading the blog lately will have seen my racing tipsters update and might think that is the only sport we monitor here at the Secret Betting Club, but don’t be mislead – we also report upon lots of football tipsters, many of whom have an excellent record of success.

What’s more it’s open to all to follow and much to the chagrin of Andy Gray and Richard Keys – that includes women! Incidentally I think I have found a replacement for these 2 chauvinists in the form of Ron Manager – although he may be a bit too highbrow for Sky Sports!

This post is also an update on my blogs from October and November, where you can see the progress of these 7 tipsters featured below throughout this season.

Jumpers For Goalposts

To quickly recap first, I have been listing the exact performance from 7 different services, all of which we recommended to follow back when the 2010/11 season started in July.

The first 5 services below are in our Hall of Fame, whilst tipsters 6 and 7 are rated just beneath that in our ‘Recommended’ section.

It is our belief that following these tipsters (especially the top 5) will make you a tasty profit over the course of a full football season! And the stats prove this too…

Below is the updated table on their latest performance since July 2010 when the new season began.

(Please note – the actual names of each tipster have been protected and are available to full SBC members only).Note that ROI = Return on Investment which is the total profits divided by total stakes.

We are really pleased with the figures produced since July with 6 out of 7 services all making a profit of a good standard. Combined at just £10 stakes, your profit would be over £1500 and at £100 stakes this rises to over £15,000.

If following a combination of these services, you couldn’t have failed to make a profit since July and it goes to show how strong an area football betting can be. Although only if you have the right tipsters to guide you – which is where we can help you!

Staking Strategically!

Of course, in reality, it doesn’t make sense to simply lump £50 on every bet as each tipster has a different strategy. Some like to bet regularly and frequently, whilst others work more selectively and you need to tailor your staking to work most efficiently. Therefore we adjust the amounts we place per bet based upon each service and its strategy.

In our example below, you can see that Service 1 has advised 289 bets this year in contrast to Service 3 (only 35 bets) so you would want to follow them with different staking amounts.  For example – in the table below we have £40 on each Service 1 bet and £130 on each Service 3 bet.

Check out one such suggestion for an optimised way of following these 7 tipsters together and what you could have made in the table below.

By using this sensible money management and employing what we call betting banks, you can make your betting much more efficient.

We help advise all SBC members on how to do this themselves – It’s easy to do and can make a world of difference! We have plenty of information available to explain this in an easy to follow fashion once you join.

Find Out More About How We Can Help You

If you are keen to find out all the details on the 7 football tipsters above, their identities and how you can start following them, all of this is available as a Secret Betting Club member.

You can also gain access to all of our recommended services that cover many different sports such as Horse Racing, Golf & Tennis.

Each month we also report back and review all the latest tipsters that have appeared on the scene so you are always bang up to date.

See what all the fuss is about by taking up a Secret Betting Club membership today.

Mike's Football Bets 24th January

Two out of three Main bets came in this weekend and if Bolton can hold off Chelsea tonight, it will add to what has already been an excellent January. Today just a quick update as I have one more bet for the midweek round of games.

I managed to catch the Blackpool – Sunderland game and as usual it was end to end stuff with the home side ending up with 5 strikers on the pitch as they strove for an equalizer. It’s the only way this team play and if they do that against a team of the quality of Man Utd, they have the forward players to make them pay. This should be an excellent game and my calculations indicate value in the over 2.75 goals line at 1.78. In general Man Utd against the lower half teams have a high percentage of games over 3 goals and as we know Blackpool have been over 2.5 goals in 100% of all home games this season. 33% of those home games have gone 4 goals or more and I anticipate the same again here

You can also get 11/10 and evens on Rooney and Berbatov as anytime goalscorers respectively. Two equally not bad looking bets either.

Main Bets
1 pt Over 2.75 goals. Blackpool V Man Utd. 1.78 Canbet/SBObet

Whatever you bet on, good luck!

Mike

Mike’s Football Bets 24th January

Two out of three Main bets came in this weekend and if Bolton can hold off Chelsea tonight, it will add to what has already been an excellent January. Today just a quick update as I have one more bet for the midweek round of games.

I managed to catch the Blackpool – Sunderland game and as usual it was end to end stuff with the home side ending up with 5 strikers on the pitch as they strove for an equalizer. It’s the only way this team play and if they do that against a team of the quality of Man Utd, they have the forward players to make them pay. This should be an excellent game and my calculations indicate value in the over 2.75 goals line at 1.78. In general Man Utd against the lower half teams have a high percentage of games over 3 goals and as we know Blackpool have been over 2.5 goals in 100% of all home games this season. 33% of those home games have gone 4 goals or more and I anticipate the same again here

You can also get 11/10 and evens on Rooney and Berbatov as anytime goalscorers respectively. Two equally not bad looking bets either.

Main Bets
1 pt Over 2.75 goals. Blackpool V Man Utd. 1.78 Canbet/SBObet

Whatever you bet on, good luck!

Mike

Mike’s Football Bets 21st January

Happy to see the back of last weekend with all the derby games and draws that no doubt did for many a betting accumulator. A lot more value betting opportunities have sprung forth for this next round of games and I am expecting goals!

This is because I have quite a few over 2.5 goal bets this weekend, starting over at Bloomfield Road, where you can get a very tasty 1.9 in the game between Blackpool and Sunderland. Perhaps the bookies are over-reacting to Darren Bent’s move but the facts are that the Seasiders have gone overs in 100% of all home games this season and it’s a high-scoring trend that has been in place ever since Ian Holloway has been in charge. Sunderland will perhaps be better suited to playing just Asamoah Gyan upfront as a target man away and as always with Blackpool games, there is plenty of goal-mouth action!

Newcastle & Spurs are two other teams not noted for defensive solidity and indeed Spurs have yet to keep a clean sheet away from home this season whereas the Toon have gone over 2.5 goals in 73% of all fixtures at St James Park.  The overs line is 1.91 with Pinnacle, which estimates a 52.3% chance, and I make it closer to 60% in my book.

My third overs bet is in the midday kick off game featuring Wolves and Liverpool and both teams have struggled to stem the flow of goals this season. Wolves have gone overs in 55% of home games, whereas Liverpool have the same 55% marker away from home. Looking at it logically as well, both teams look very shaky at the back and if Torres fires up again, there should be goals. Dalglish will see this as a must-win game also. 10bet are offering 2.22 on the overs line, which is a 45% chance and looks too big for me.

I have one Main Asian Handicap bet on perennial favourites Bolton who you can back with a +1 start at 1.85 at home to Chelsea. Bolton are formidable at the Reebok, losing only once there this season against Liverpool (and rather unluckily so in my opinion). Chelsea as we know are far from convincing these days and have won just 3 away this season at Blackburn, West Ham and Wigan. I certainly can’t see more than a 1 goal win if Ancelotti’s men do get their act together and am siding with the Trotters once again, who have served me so well this season.

Main Bets
1 pt Over 2.5 goals. Blackpool V Sunderland 1.90. Canbet/188bet/SBObet
1 pt Over 2.5 goals. Newcastle V Spurs. 1.91 Pinnacle
1 pt Over 2.5 goals. Wolves V Liverpool. 2.22 10Bet
1 pt Bolton (+1 AH) V Chelsea. 1.84 Ladbrokes/12bet

Shortlist Bets
1 pt Over 2.25 goals. Fulham V Stoke. 2.12 Pinnacle

Whatever you bet on, good luck!

Mike

Mike's Football Bets 21st January

Happy to see the back of last weekend with all the derby games and draws that no doubt did for many a betting accumulator. A lot more value betting opportunities have sprung forth for this next round of games and I am expecting goals!

This is because I have quite a few over 2.5 goal bets this weekend, starting over at Bloomfield Road, where you can get a very tasty 1.9 in the game between Blackpool and Sunderland. Perhaps the bookies are over-reacting to Darren Bent’s move but the facts are that the Seasiders have gone overs in 100% of all home games this season and it’s a high-scoring trend that has been in place ever since Ian Holloway has been in charge. Sunderland will perhaps be better suited to playing just Asamoah Gyan upfront as a target man away and as always with Blackpool games, there is plenty of goal-mouth action!

Newcastle & Spurs are two other teams not noted for defensive solidity and indeed Spurs have yet to keep a clean sheet away from home this season whereas the Toon have gone over 2.5 goals in 73% of all fixtures at St James Park.  The overs line is 1.91 with Pinnacle, which estimates a 52.3% chance, and I make it closer to 60% in my book.

My third overs bet is in the midday kick off game featuring Wolves and Liverpool and both teams have struggled to stem the flow of goals this season. Wolves have gone overs in 55% of home games, whereas Liverpool have the same 55% marker away from home. Looking at it logically as well, both teams look very shaky at the back and if Torres fires up again, there should be goals. Dalglish will see this as a must-win game also. 10bet are offering 2.22 on the overs line, which is a 45% chance and looks too big for me.

I have one Main Asian Handicap bet on perennial favourites Bolton who you can back with a +1 start at 1.85 at home to Chelsea. Bolton are formidable at the Reebok, losing only once there this season against Liverpool (and rather unluckily so in my opinion). Chelsea as we know are far from convincing these days and have won just 3 away this season at Blackburn, West Ham and Wigan. I certainly can’t see more than a 1 goal win if Ancelotti’s men do get their act together and am siding with the Trotters once again, who have served me so well this season.

Main Bets
1 pt Over 2.5 goals. Blackpool V Sunderland 1.90. Canbet/188bet/SBObet
1 pt Over 2.5 goals. Newcastle V Spurs. 1.91 Pinnacle
1 pt Over 2.5 goals. Wolves V Liverpool. 2.22 10Bet
1 pt Bolton (+1 AH) V Chelsea. 1.84 Ladbrokes/12bet

Shortlist Bets
1 pt Over 2.25 goals. Fulham V Stoke. 2.12 Pinnacle

Whatever you bet on, good luck!

Mike